Use of statistics

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Tony.Williams
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Use of statistics

Post by Tony.Williams »

I do get exasperated when I see examples of statistics being used inappropriately. For example, in a CNN article:
During that time, Trump has showed little interest in addressing the most important issue facing the country: the record-breaking climb in US coronavirus cases. On Thursday, the influential model from the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation predicted that US deaths are likely to reach 438,941 by March 1.
No they are not - it would be a bloody miracle if they hit precisely 438,941 on March 1st. Why on earth don't they just say "exceed 430,000"? Or, on reflection "exceed 400,000" would be even more appropriate, given the size of the error bands in such statistics.
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